Thursday, May 29, 2008
Reaction to McClellan and groupthink
In order to make groupthink testable, Irving Janis devised eight symptoms that are indicative of groupthink (1977).
1. Illusions of invulnerability creating excessive optimism and encouraging risk taking.
2. Rationalising warnings that might challenge the group’s assumptions.
3. Unquestioned belief in the morality of the group, causing members to ignore the consequences of their actions.
4. Stereotyping those who are opposed to the group as weak, evil, disfigured, impotent, or stupid.
5. Direct pressure to conform placed on any member who questions the group, couched in terms of “disloyalty”.
6. Self censorship of ideas that deviate from the apparent group consensus.
7. Illusions of unanimity among group members, silence is viewed as agreement.
8. Mindguards — self-appointed members who shield the group from dissenting information.
Wednesday, May 28, 2008
Friday, May 23, 2008
Poking in the shale...
Close or running under a large number of cities, this is good news, particularly those of us who use home heating oil as their primary source for winter heat.
Wednesday, May 21, 2008
On the traction of political narrative
It certainly is easier to point out how easy it is for the other side/how hard it is for your side than to confront their narrative directly.
Good news--we no longer have to outsource our torture to Syria
Of course, given how poorly we're doing it, it should not be a surprise that we need more practice.
Meanwhile, SecDef Gates, after previously saying we need to close Gitmo, now says we are stuck right now, partly because if we return some of these people to their home countries they might be released outright,
Uh, Mr. Secretary? That's what we do to innocent people. Rather, that's what we used to do, before potential political embarrassment meant more than innocence or guilt.
Tuesday, May 20, 2008
Monday, May 19, 2008
The biggest puffer issue?
Friday, May 16, 2008
Catholics being denied Communion for supporting Democrats?
The calcifying of the Catholic Church around the abortion side of their pro-life stance is not new. As is their relative silence, in the US, on the death penalty. But denying communion for Catholics who support Democratic candidates seems to be using communion as a political weapon. There is a real tax liability, at minimum, for the Church, if true.
Thursday, May 15, 2008
Church moving
Amazing. The song is a little cheesy, but what a great video. And what a beautiful day there. It's like a poster for the Midwest.
Thursday, May 08, 2008
Wednesday, May 07, 2008
Tuesday, May 06, 2008
Monday, May 05, 2008
Hiroshima photos
I started to read a novel recently which used the historical fact of the finding of these images as a starting point. Turned out to be not my cup of tea (the novel, though you could probably include the tragedy in there as well).
How flipping a photo makes one look elitist
While we were arguing about whether Rev Wright loves America more than Barack Obama...
This is one of the most isolated countries on earth (isolated for many reasons, but human trafficking and opium production come to mind...). Still, a disaster of epic proportions. A chance to do good here might open up an otherwise repressive country.
As I recall, Myanmar lost thousands in the tsunami a couple of years ago, but wouldn't let aid workers into the country to help. So maybe this is just another lost opportunity in the making.
UPDATE: Now past 22,000 dead.
Sunday, May 04, 2008
Thursday, May 01, 2008
Tuesday, April 29, 2008
Obama kicks his garbage to the curb
Rev Wright's victimology has no place in Obama's campaign of shared goals through personal responsibility-taking.
Monday, April 28, 2008
Time away
Pretty much everything got put on hold to work through this--planning the funeral, people coming into town, etc. I even had to work up the courage to sing at her funeral mass (Swing Low Sweet Chariot, in case you are interested).
Will try to get back to speed soon.
Thursday, April 24, 2008
Wednesday, April 23, 2008
Republicans looking to block expansion of pay discrimination rights
Republicans want to block the bill, apparently because there are a large number of people who are being discriminated against now. Er, wait--maybe because these people would want the court to redress a wrong committed against them. No, that's not it--must be because the court system is overwhelmed that legitimate claims shouldn't burden them further. Hmmm. Doesn't sound right. Anyone want to take a stab at their reasoning?
Tuesday, April 15, 2008
A bitter post
Their prediction: Clinton 53 Obama 50.
Because of the way PA allocates delagates, it is difficult for a candidate to run away with the numbers, and the wide range of voters here make it unlikely that either candidate will win on macro grounds either.
Meanwhile, Bitter-gate (that is, the Elitists calling Obama an elitist and getting offended by it) appears to have had little effect in Pennsylvania.
Friday, April 11, 2008
Old CFLs being taken in at IKEA stores
Photoshop disasters
Thursday, April 10, 2008
Don Young's Coconut Road amendment getting scrutiny--finally.
Earmarks are bad enough. Earmarks with such clear kickbacks are worse. But earmarks after the bill has passed? Par for the course for the Alaskan "delegation."
Wednesday, April 09, 2008
Republicans: If we don't continue to spend billions in Iraq, "that would wreak havoc on our national and economic security "
Let's find some analogies, shall we?
"If we don't continue to charge on our credit cards, our finances will be in shambles!"
"We must keep up with doomsday analogies, or else we'd be forced to engage with Americans!"
Any more?
Credit card companies: Scum
The stories are simply incredible. Seriously--take the worst credit card story you can imagine, and it has not only happened recently but happened many times across the country.
Now, some credit card companies, instead of holding you to the credit line, allow you to go over it without warning and increase your interest rate on top of a fee per month for each month you are over the limit.
I watched Maxed Out last week--this should be required viewing (I don't really mean that, but so many people are clueless about credit that you feel like there should be some simple test required).
And while I can do without his Biblical quote drop-ins, Dave Ramsey is pretty damn good if you are looking for a way out.
2008 Senate races
Even just one more Senator and Lieberman will be booted, I suspect.
Odd news sampler
Meanwhile, after the root beer party:
Garden gnome left on tracks by teens in France holds up high speed train
Man tries to hide drugs from police--in donut box. :)
Who knew they'd look in there?
Monday, April 07, 2008
Philly schools efforts cut fat kid rates in half
I did have to laugh out loud at the following:
For the study, changes were made to the food in vending machines or the cafeteria in five of the schools. Juice, water and low-fat milk replaced sodas. Snacks had to meet limits for fat, salt and sugar. Students who ate healthy snacks got raffle tickets to win prizes such as bikes and jump ropes.
"We found when you give children healthy choices, they pick them," said Grace McGinley, school nurse at Francis Hopkinson School, one of the test schools.
No, Nurse McGinley. You found that when you took away all bad choices that the kids got healthier. This wasn't a matter of kids choosing healthy foods over junk food.
Jeez. Even when the evidence is right there in front of them they insist upon casting it completely incorrectly.
Don't get me wrong: This is great news, and there should never be soda and junk food sold in elementary schools. But let's not cast this as some kind of "choice" by the kids.
Wednesday, April 02, 2008
Yoo memo
One thing I gotta hand to the Republicans: They shure are focused on the end result. They don't mind selling off the soul of the country to get there.
Glenn Greenwald with some tasty commentary.
Sunday, March 30, 2008
Friday, March 28, 2008
Thursday, March 27, 2008
Secret Questions...
Some companies, like Verizon, seem to forget that the answers to these questions should be memorial, however.
I get to choose my questions:
What is the name of your first pet? I dunno. I was probably like 3 months old at the time.
What company did you first work for? As an adult? Does my paper route count? How about part time jobs?
What is the name of your first school? I dunno. My family (like many families) moved a lot.
What is the title of your favorite book? Pretty much whatever I'm reading at the moment. Not much help for a security question.
What is your favorite food? Better, but I really don't have one food I can choose. Let alone remember I chose it.
What is the last name of your best friend? Besides my wife? Or is my wife included?
Stupid questions. How am I supposed to know what to pick, let alone remember I picked it, just so Verizon can be sure that no one will get into my account. Hell, I can't get into my account!
Wednesday, March 26, 2008
Trade Fact of the Week
My all-time favorite was from 2006: The Shipping Container is 50 Years Old Today.
Richard Widmark
RIP
Monday, March 24, 2008
Obama endorsements
Another far lefter. It is amazing how often, when people actually read and listen to what Obama is saying, suddenly they are jerked to the far left under his Jim Jones-like charisma and unthinkingly endorse the guy. It's freakish.
Friday, March 21, 2008
Thursday, March 20, 2008
Wednesday, March 19, 2008
Red Sox threaten not to go to Japan if they aren't paid
Good for the Red Sox. Apparently the players are getting paid, but the coaches and support staff are not, despite earlier promises that they would be.
Tuesday, March 18, 2008
Obama's speech on race
Dinosaur mummy found
The fact that there is skin as well as bones is an amazing find for researchers.
The math and the Democratic primary
PA: 188 delegates
IN: 84
NC: 134
NE: 31
WV: 39
KY: 60
OR: 65
MT: 24
SD: 23
PR: 55
GU: 9
Total of 712 delegates still to be chosen. If Obama and Clinton split these, this'll give Obama 1411 + 356 = 1767 pledged delegates. With 207 superdelegates already stating they will support Obama, that gives him 1974 altogether--only 51 short of the nomination. A switch of 26 delegates from Clinton's side and he's got the nomination. Or, even fewer, and the settling of some caucus states (like Iowa) result in more delegates pledging to Obama as they go through their process.
Obviously this is all subject to change. Clinton seems very strong here in PA, but we have some weeks to go. However, what gains Clinton makes in PA are likely to be overturned in Indiana and North Carolina where Obama has healthy leads himself.
On the Clinton side, there really is no way she can win it with Florida out of the picture and Michigan less and less likely. She's trying to take super delegates but the numbers just aren't there for her. Splitting delegates in the next 11 contests (not easy to do) will give her 1598 pledged delegates. With 237 super delegates this leaves her short 190 delegates.
There are 356 super delegates (796 total - 211 - 237) who have not endorsed a candidate. Clinton *might* be able to pull it off by somehow convincing a majority of the uncommitted super delegates to support her (despite Obama's leads in the popular vote, pledged delegates, and states won). I have no doubt they will do what they have to do. But the numbers are against her.
Friday, March 14, 2008
Keeping busy
Bush weakens the power of the Intelligence Oversight Board
Bush orders EPA to raise seasonal ozone limits rule
Thursday, March 13, 2008
"An Unquiet Grave"
Tuesday, March 11, 2008
Internal Microsoft documents show they believed Vista to be, at best, labelled poorly
I'm not sure I agree with the lawsuit idea, but by all accounts Vista is a piece of crap.
Dem popular vote numbers
-Obama has a clear (greater than 500K) lead in the popular vote. This is without 4 states, of which Obama won three. With the eventual addition of those states, his popular vote lead will only increase.
-I've been asked by several people my thoughts on Michigan and Florida getting back into the game and having delegates count, either through some kind of self-financed voting scheme or some other negotiated method. My response: Too bad--let them sit it out. Think about it for a moment: These are two states who defied the DNC in order to make their delegates more relevant in the process by having their elections very early. Now that the process has passed them by, they want to negotiate, in order to have their delegates become relevant (!). If the DNC gives in to Michigan and Florida (and I've got no reason to think Howard Dean is enough of a hardass to hold the line) then they lose all control over the process, and states will do what they want, content that they can either force the issue or negotiate to get exactly what they want.
"I'm not running for the office of Vice President"
Good stuff.
The longer Clinton campaigns, the more its own arguments are falling apart. Perhaps this comes from the lack of tough campaign experience on her part. Perhaps she really believes that everyone is out to get her and she'll do whatever she has to (unlike some people, I don't believe that being ambitious is a negative for someone seeking national office). I do believe, like Lieberman, she feels she's better and more important than the Party,
Hilzoy nails it:
That's why I think some enterprising reporter should ask her whether she would support Barack Obama if he were nominated. If she would, then she should be asked why she would be willing to support someone she does not believe is qualified to be commander in chief
Friday, March 07, 2008
Wednesday, March 05, 2008
The Costs of the War on Terror
Next time someone complains about the lack of border agents, tell them that the cost of the war effort for a single day would pay for 11,000 more border agents.
Tuesday, March 04, 2008
Monday, March 03, 2008
Funny pictures of dogs failing...
"[the French] had also seen us as just a bunch of freeloading backpackers"
That sounds harsher than I mean it. The cluelessness of the guy made me LOL.
Love the comments after the article.
Saturday, March 01, 2008
Maxim's fake music review
The band Black Crowes only sent out a single, not the whole album. Yet they got 2.5 stars (out of 5) for the album. Sounds like a college professor of mine: I got a C on my first paper and nothing I did after that was any better or worse.
Friday, February 29, 2008
Sunday, February 24, 2008
Frank Rich on the Clinton campaign
But the fact is, Clinton lacked experience where it was needed most: Running a campaign against a tough opponent. Obama's experience (most recently, against a nasty Alan Keyes in the Senetorial race) came through, while Clinton had nothing to draw upon.
Saturday, February 23, 2008
Thursday, February 21, 2008
Tuesday, February 19, 2008
Science and the Right
It doesn't help that this current Administration slashes science budgets, re-writes science reports to suit political ends, and seemingly puts out their policy conclusions before (or instead of) scientific facts.
Another unforced Clinton error
Sunday, February 17, 2008
Saturday, February 16, 2008
Friday, February 15, 2008
Superdelegates!
One thing I didn't realize is that, as of right now, even the superdelagates from Michigan & Florida don't count.
I used to know why superdelagates exist (kind of a moderating force? To act in a tie?) but pretty clearly the use of them will change in the Democratic Party in the future.
Thursday, February 14, 2008
Wednesday, February 13, 2008
I see dead people's emails...
Tuesday, February 12, 2008
US to cut funding for UN peacekeepers in Africa
According to White House figures quietly released this week, more than $193 million for U.N. troops would be cut for missions in Liberia, Rwanda, Sudan, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Cote d'Ivoire and elsewhere. A State Department official who would not be named confirmed to ABC News Monday that the cuts could be even worse.
Why I hate humans...
seriously.
so i'm driving to work this morning through my happy little neighborhood in northwestern Queens, NYC, heading up some side street on my way to the Long Island Expressway, and out of no where i see this cute girl walking her dog at a pretty fast pace, and heading right toward the intersection i'm about to cross.
now i've got the green light. clear as day. not the "red turning to green so gun it off the line" kind of green or the "whoa, it's about to turn red so gun it" kind of green, but the steady green that's been there for a minute and she clearly has the big red DO NOT WALK symbol right in her face.
so i hit my horn a little bit - a "toot toot" kind of "hey, i hope you're paying attention" kind of honk, because that little bitty cute and happy tail-waggin' oblivious to life's concerns dog - and i love dogs like no one's business - is just scampering about and heading into the street because, well, he's a happy tail-waggin' oblivious to life's concerns kind of dog.
and she stops suddenly, pulls back on the leash, and gives me the nastiest, angriest, full-of-indignation look while mouthing "HONK! HONK!" and slamming down on some faux steering wheel horn that is apparently hovering in mid-air.
well FUCK her. i shoulda hit the skank whore and taken home that little bitty cute and happy tail-waggin' oblivious to life's concerns dog, because, quite frankly, she doesn't deserve him. :o)
and THAT is why i hate humans...but love dogs.
Monday, February 11, 2008
Bush, the budget, and projections
The result: $152 billion surplus.
It makes you sick to think about it. All that money wasted on ethanol and bridges to nowhere has accumulated into a pile that massive. Uncle Sam ate a whopping helping of apple pie every day for seven years, and now he is obese.
Sunday, February 10, 2008
What's with the Washington State GOP?
I first noticed this on TPM. I don't know what to make of it. Anyone else?
Saturday, February 09, 2008
They eat their own...
in watching this whole political drama we call "Decision '08" unfold, i'm caught off guard by just how splintered the Republicans are. i mean, it's been clear for awhile that they are a party divided by moderates vs. religious...um...loons, and a party turned upside-down by traditional Republican values no longer holding sway, such as being fiscally conservative, or local and states rights vs. federal rights.
but still, the level of division is astonishing to me. would you have EVER, in your wildest dreams (or nightmares, i suppose), imagined Ann Coulter, and patron skeleton...err, saint, of conservatives everywhere, saying she would vote for Hillary over McCain...now, granted, her rationale is that a Hillary presidency would be a 4 year disaster followed by 30 years of Republican rule, while a McCain presidency would be a 4 year disaster followed by 30 years of Democrat rule, so, for the long term, it kind of makes sense.
isn't that putting the cart before the horse, however? by most accounts, the Bill Clinton presidency was hardly a disaster. Yes, for the religious...um...loons, it was, and they took a blow job and turned it into sweeping victories in congress, and ultimately, a presidential selection for GW Bush.
As a result of all that, the loons took over the Republican party, destroyed it from within, lost congress barely a decade after taking control and seeming like they would hold it for eons, and have now caused the aforementioned splintering.
I'd like to think the American people have learned their lessons. We allowed a small minority to convince a near-majority that the true test of a leader was some sort of random morality test. And then, when that small minority was elected to public office, they proceeded to abuse their power, commit felonies of which they've since been convicted, approve of war crimes which they may well be convicted of one day, and basically trample all over the U.S. Constitution in the name of a War on Terror that we're fighting in a nation that wasn't even a threat to us until AFTER we attacked them unprovoked and opened the door for terrorism to take over that nation.
Anyway, it's truly fascinating watching what's happening in the Republican party. When the Democrats did this on a smaller scale in 2000, it cost them the presidency. But the large scale in which Republicans are turning on each other may not just cost them the presidency, it may cost them their party, and their party's relevancy.
Administration: Immigration law enforcement more important that a faster process
Until you start encouraging legal immigration, emphasizing the illegal side (walls, more agents, rooting out businesses which hire illegals) is like dabbing the blood from a cut after it has run down your arm a bit. Just fix the damn cut!
Wednesday, February 06, 2008
A Lenten Prayer
My Lord God, I have no idea where I am going. I do not see the road ahead of me. I cannot know for certain where it will end. Nor do I really know myself, and the fact that I think that I am following your will does not mean that I am actually doing so.
But I believe that the desire to please you does in fact please you. And I hope I have that desire in all that I am doing. I hope that I will never do anything apart from that desire. And I know that if I do this you will lead me by the right road though I may know nothing about it. Therefore will I trust you always though I may seem to be lost and in the shadow of death. I will not fear, for you are ever with me, and you will never leave me to face my perils alone.
Monday, February 04, 2008
Vote on Feb. 5
If you're a Dem, and are unsuare, or want to have a discussion of the merits of the two candidates, I say vote Obama, and here's why: I think he is potentially transformational. I say this because he's different, his MO is different, his platform is different, and always has been (not about "me" but about "you;" not about Dems. vs Republicans, but about common ground; not about the war on terrorism, but about building bridges between America and all other nations). He's charismatic, intelligent, wise, and willing, seemingly genuinely interested in unifying our broken political system, and image abroad.
Regarding Hillary, she is no slouch. I think Hillary is smart, knowledgeable, driven, and largely aligned with Obama's policies (policy discussion b/w the two is splitting hairs, and definitely not the most critical factor in choosing the Dem nomination...maybe b/w Romney and McCain, and of course in the general election, but Hillary and Obama are pretty similar, and don't forget, Congress has to agree with their policies, too). The differences are whether one thinks that the Clintons or Obama would be more effective in turning our country around. I think Obama will be less divisive (whether it's Hillary's fault or not, the Repubs like her (a lot) less), less combative, and more reasoned. I think thier motivations are different. Hillary wants to win her political battles; Obama seeks to mend political divisions. He does have a liberalish agenda, and that may not be suitable for conservatives, but he is not going to ram a liberal agenda down anyone's throats. Hillary is decisive, and highly policy-knowledgeable, but also potentially distracted by heavy partisan politicing -- some of which she will initiate or exacerbate. It's her MO. I think our country needs to move forward, going back to Clintons and back and forth between Clinton and Bush is not the kind of change our country needs now. I liked Bill, I like Bill, and for the most part, I like and respect Hillary, but not everyone feels that way, and they know it, and when they feel it, they make it worse. It's their style. She's a strong candidate at the wrong time. I really believe that Hillary would unfortunately continue us along a path of partisan politics where little gets done.
If you don't believe that Obama has the leadership capabilities or the right kind of experience to lead, that's fair, but I think at this stage, it's a belief in their respective leadership potential, effectiveness at governing, and their overally underlying messages, that will determine who gets the Dem nom. I think Hillary's time has passed. The country needs something more than a smart, knowledgeable driven but divisive leader. It's time for someone new, someone who is thinking broad, beyond the Dem party, and for the country. Someone who comes into the role with at least some Republicans interested and supportive. Someone who truly speaks of change and who has enacted change on a grass roots level. I trust Obama and believe he can get bipartisan politics started. It may take 8 years and another president to continue it. It's going take compromise and negotiation, tact and diplomacy, skill and judgment. These are his strengths. What we need, he has. Our country does not need a divisive leader. We need the best unifier out there.
More corruption, from on high
Maybe it is the cynic in me, but I suspect that if the Administration was Democratic that we wouldn't be seeing this filing--Philly would have played along. I'm not excusing the behavior at all, just saying that Philly is no stranger to backscratching nor to partisanship.