Friday, August 19, 2011
Tuesday, August 09, 2011
Son of S&P
S&P reactions include a very good Nate Silver piece, taking them to task for generally being very bad at what they do.
Turns out they made a $2 trillion error, which they admitted but brushed aside as unimportant.
My own belief is that this is a bit of a makeup call, after really blowing things on housing and derivative ratings.
[BTW, any winger looking for "blame" for the Great Recession need look no farther than the ratings agencies for the biggest culprits. Their fake, optimistic ratings made risky financials look quite rosy, staving off a free market correction which would have been far less painful if done earlier.]
Turns out they made a $2 trillion error, which they admitted but brushed aside as unimportant.
My own belief is that this is a bit of a makeup call, after really blowing things on housing and derivative ratings.
[BTW, any winger looking for "blame" for the Great Recession need look no farther than the ratings agencies for the biggest culprits. Their fake, optimistic ratings made risky financials look quite rosy, staving off a free market correction which would have been far less painful if done earlier.]
Monday, August 08, 2011
The mind of the tea party
Tea Party head: We should be spending more on military because it stimulates the economy.
When memes get mixed up by the short-sighted, comedy results.
When memes get mixed up by the short-sighted, comedy results.
Monday, July 25, 2011
Tuesday, July 05, 2011
Wake me when silly season is over.
New Republican meme: White House is "hiding data" which proves the stimulus didn't work.
If at first the facts don't fit the meme, put out a new one accusing the other side of hiding ones that help your point. Or something like that.
If at first the facts don't fit the meme, put out a new one accusing the other side of hiding ones that help your point. Or something like that.
Sunday, July 03, 2011
Making a difference, one kid at a time
A case for locally grown and purchased food. By an 11-year old.
Thursday, June 30, 2011
Wednesday, June 29, 2011
The "tell"
Jon Kyl (among other Republicans) now against a payroll tax holiday.
The stated reason: "It won't do much."
The "tell" as it were, regarding the GOP plans to keep the economy spluttering for political reasons is that they are now against straightforward tax cuts it they can help Obama. In other words, if a tax cut has the possible benefit of actually working to improve the economy, they are not for it because Obama might get credit.
The stated reason: "It won't do much."
The "tell" as it were, regarding the GOP plans to keep the economy spluttering for political reasons is that they are now against straightforward tax cuts it they can help Obama. In other words, if a tax cut has the possible benefit of actually working to improve the economy, they are not for it because Obama might get credit.
Monday, June 20, 2011
New York State -- the next in line?
New York State might be on the cusp of allowing same-sex marriages.
Apparently the tact of preserving (and even expanding) religious freedoms in the bill is helping to move it along.
Apparently the tact of preserving (and even expanding) religious freedoms in the bill is helping to move it along.
Thursday, June 16, 2011
The big tell
The GOP declines to take up the President's offer to try another stimulus plan made up entirely of tax cuts.
As noted elsewhere, this is "the big tell." Clearly the GOP plan is to try to keep the economy sputtering until after the election.
As noted elsewhere, this is "the big tell." Clearly the GOP plan is to try to keep the economy sputtering until after the election.
Saturday, June 11, 2011
The Boston Diocese: Where some are welcome!
Boston parish cancels Mass planned for Gay Pride Week, with the theme "All Are Welcome."
This went from a poorly worded flyer announcement to looking like the Boston Dioceses does not, in fact, believe that all are welcome.
When it doubt, go with Christ. It is far better to do the right thing and look foolish than to pull back in the hopes the embarrassment will pass.
This went from a poorly worded flyer announcement to looking like the Boston Dioceses does not, in fact, believe that all are welcome.
When it doubt, go with Christ. It is far better to do the right thing and look foolish than to pull back in the hopes the embarrassment will pass.
Friday, June 10, 2011
TGIF
Just called my cell phone number from my office phone to help me find the cell. Got a message: "The person you are calling is not reachable."
Tuesday, June 07, 2011
On Rick Santorum (formerly R, PA/VA)
Greg Sargent makes some solid points about Rick Santorum's bizarre candidacy.
Money quote: It’s not that Santorum thinks that Republican primary voters really want to get rid of Social Security; it’s that he believes what they want is a candidate willing to be as radical as they think of themselves as being.
Partly this is the primary season, where candidates run hard to the right (or left, for the Dems) and some candidates go off into the ditch. But one of the reasons why Obama looks like a fairly solid re-election candidate is that none of the Republican candidates seem the least bit interested in staying on the road at all.
Full disclosure: For Santorum's last election I was a contributor to a group blog Dumpsantorum.com (which, like many sites, has gone down the rabbit hole). But having an opinion that Santorum is a wacko far Right politico who wraps himself in his religion only when it matches his political agenda is hardly one that I'm alone with, and looks like it will be shared by many more people until he drops out of the race.
Money quote: It’s not that Santorum thinks that Republican primary voters really want to get rid of Social Security; it’s that he believes what they want is a candidate willing to be as radical as they think of themselves as being.
Partly this is the primary season, where candidates run hard to the right (or left, for the Dems) and some candidates go off into the ditch. But one of the reasons why Obama looks like a fairly solid re-election candidate is that none of the Republican candidates seem the least bit interested in staying on the road at all.
Full disclosure: For Santorum's last election I was a contributor to a group blog Dumpsantorum.com (which, like many sites, has gone down the rabbit hole). But having an opinion that Santorum is a wacko far Right politico who wraps himself in his religion only when it matches his political agenda is hardly one that I'm alone with, and looks like it will be shared by many more people until he drops out of the race.
Thursday, June 02, 2011
Personal propaganda
Besides having a cool name (or, 2/3 or a cool name), this piece is interesting how it takes a propaganda shot and makes it a little personal. And not just because it was the author's family in the shot.
So maybe the propagandists were right all along.
So maybe the propagandists were right all along.
Wednesday, June 01, 2011
Laffer Curve Madness
In the current debate over tax policy (which should be more about tax loopholes and avoidance than tax rates, but there you go), sometimes, zombie-like, certain economic philosophies continue to be bandied about as though they haven't been thoroughly debunked.
Greg Mankiw takes another dagger at Laffer in the course of a good debate about economics and policy presentation, from 2007.
Greg Mankiw takes another dagger at Laffer in the course of a good debate about economics and policy presentation, from 2007.
Tuesday, May 31, 2011
Tuesday, May 24, 2011
GOP Race 2012
Herman Cain, lecturing people to read the Constitution, quotes from the Declaration of Independence by mistake.
This guy is going to be a lot of fun until he flames out. Every race needs an Alan Keyes--looks like Cain is stepping up to be the latest.
This guy is going to be a lot of fun until he flames out. Every race needs an Alan Keyes--looks like Cain is stepping up to be the latest.
Thursday, May 12, 2011
Sunday, April 24, 2011
Really, dude?
Meanwhile on Mars, Michigan legislator of a certain party introduces a bill requiring foster children to purchase their clothes second hand.
No word on whether they get additional punishment for asking for more porridge.
No word on whether they get additional punishment for asking for more porridge.
Thursday, April 14, 2011
Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Monday, April 04, 2011
I know the feeling...
Woman goes crazy at Gauguin exhibit--"This is evil!" and starts pounding on painting.
Thursday, March 31, 2011
Monday, March 28, 2011
Saturday, March 26, 2011
Geraldine Ferraro 1935-2011
Story, and statement from the family
A trailblazer. I shook her hand once at the Ditmars N train station where she was stumping for the Congressional candidate. Don't remember the candidate's name, but I was pleased to say hello to Ferraro.
A trailblazer. I shook her hand once at the Ditmars N train station where she was stumping for the Congressional candidate. Don't remember the candidate's name, but I was pleased to say hello to Ferraro.
Thursday, March 24, 2011
Guns and more guns. Or, bringing a tank to a cockfight.
Sheriff Arpaio in the news again. Who brings a tank to a cockfight? Sheriff Joe, that's who.
This isn't an immigration problem of his--more of a "might is right" problem. Also, a demonstration that conservatives, at one time, had it right to be skeptical of giving too much unchecked power into law enforcement. By pouring (literally) billions of borrowed tax dollars into tanks and other military grade weapons for local and county police departments, we set up a system where the way they fight crime becomes self-fulfilling.
And it is a habit that is hard to break.
This isn't an immigration problem of his--more of a "might is right" problem. Also, a demonstration that conservatives, at one time, had it right to be skeptical of giving too much unchecked power into law enforcement. By pouring (literally) billions of borrowed tax dollars into tanks and other military grade weapons for local and county police departments, we set up a system where the way they fight crime becomes self-fulfilling.
And it is a habit that is hard to break.
Friday, March 11, 2011
"What's in Spock's scanner?"
They could have gone a lot of ways with that question, but this is a good one.
Tuesday, March 08, 2011
Thursday, March 03, 2011
Wednesday, March 02, 2011
On Libya, Obama, and timing.
A great letter to Andrew Sullivan about the ODS sufferers Kirstol and Wiseltier, on Libya.
Last paragraph of that letter is spot on:
In retrospect, the Obama/Clinton game is mature, carefully thought through and focused on the long-term consequences of the use of power. The Wieseltier/Kristol game is ill-considered, emotional and places a thoroughly unwarranted emphasis on the deployment of US military power without appreciating the negatives that go with such moves. Put otherwise, the Obama Team has learned some lessons from Iraq and Afghanistan, and Wieseltier/Kristol are prepared to commit the same mistakes, all over again.
Last paragraph of that letter is spot on:
In retrospect, the Obama/Clinton game is mature, carefully thought through and focused on the long-term consequences of the use of power. The Wieseltier/Kristol game is ill-considered, emotional and places a thoroughly unwarranted emphasis on the deployment of US military power without appreciating the negatives that go with such moves. Put otherwise, the Obama Team has learned some lessons from Iraq and Afghanistan, and Wieseltier/Kristol are prepared to commit the same mistakes, all over again.
Tuesday, March 01, 2011
Thursday, February 24, 2011
NZ earthquake
Some amazing photos from New Zealand, where a large earthquake struck, essentially, downtown Christchurch in the middle of the workday.
This might get overlooked with all the serial protesting in the Middle East and the standoffs in Wisconsin, but your prayers would be appreciated, I think.
This might get overlooked with all the serial protesting in the Middle East and the standoffs in Wisconsin, but your prayers would be appreciated, I think.
Wednesday, February 16, 2011
Gaza and Israeli policy
More wikileaks information about Israel's policy toward Gaza.
Despite acknowledging that Hamas was actively working to maintain the ceasefire (and that none of the rocket launches were from Hamas), Israel decided to take them out anyway.
Nice. I think they call this "bargaining in bad faith."
Despite acknowledging that Hamas was actively working to maintain the ceasefire (and that none of the rocket launches were from Hamas), Israel decided to take them out anyway.
Nice. I think they call this "bargaining in bad faith."
Wednesday, February 09, 2011
Monday, February 07, 2011
Fun with word swapping
While [Indonesia/America] has more [Muslims/Christians] than any other country, the [Southeast Asian/North American] nation of [240/308] million has long been seen as moderate and largely secular. A small but vocal—and sometimes violent—minority has at times sought to impose its will, serving as a sort of moral police for the country.
original article
original article
Friday, February 04, 2011
Queen for a day.
The Leona Helmsley-like former ambassador to Luxembourg.
I like how the staff got so fed up, some volunteered to transfer to embassies in war zones.
I like how the staff got so fed up, some volunteered to transfer to embassies in war zones.
Monday, January 31, 2011
A ost-DADT military?
What social conservatives fear: A military respectful of a gay marriage.
Ketterson sent a copy of the marriage license. That changed everything.
“I was respected,” he said. “From that moment on, I was next of kin. They were amazing.”
Ketterson sent a copy of the marriage license. That changed everything.
“I was respected,” he said. “From that moment on, I was next of kin. They were amazing.”
Monday, January 24, 2011
Friday, January 21, 2011
The cost of DADT
In financial terms: About $200 million over 5 years.
So lemme get this right: The GOP was elected to reduce the deficit and cut spending. Among their first acts is to take steps to ensure DADT remains military policy, and to vote to repeal a health care plan which cuts federal spending.
Riiiiight.
So lemme get this right: The GOP was elected to reduce the deficit and cut spending. Among their first acts is to take steps to ensure DADT remains military policy, and to vote to repeal a health care plan which cuts federal spending.
Riiiiight.
Monday, January 17, 2011
Nutters...
Wingnuts confuse closed captions with audience instructions.
If they can't find Obama criticism to use, they'll make some up.
If they can't find Obama criticism to use, they'll make some up.
What Its About
Even for a blog like mine, which will be discovered, after my death, with great surprise by people, Michael Chabon's signoff at TNC's guest blogger strikes me as being pitch perfect.
Maybe blogger helps Chabon's writing, too....
Maybe blogger helps Chabon's writing, too....
Sunday, January 16, 2011
Friday, January 14, 2011
Is it the South? Or the Tea Party? Or both?
Tennessee Tea Party curricula demands: No teaching about minorities which gets in the way of our deifying the Founding Fathers.
Wednesday, January 12, 2011
Monday, January 10, 2011
Thursday, January 06, 2011
In response to the horrible attacks on Christians in Egypt...
In Egypt, calls by Muslims to act as human shields in Christian services.
Any chance the Christianists in the United States would likewise shield their Muslim brothers from attacks? I thought not.
Funny how often Muslims act more Christ-like than US conservative "Christians."
Any chance the Christianists in the United States would likewise shield their Muslim brothers from attacks? I thought not.
Funny how often Muslims act more Christ-like than US conservative "Christians."
Wednesday, January 05, 2011
Dems in the US Senate start the process to change filibuster rules
Udall begins the process of changing the rules today.
Three important elements:
-an end to secret "holds"
-a filibuster can only occur after debate begins (in other words, a filibuster cannot be used to prevent debate from beginning)
-the party holding the filibuster needs to actually hold the floor to do so.
Simple but important steps, IMO.
Three important elements:
-an end to secret "holds"
-a filibuster can only occur after debate begins (in other words, a filibuster cannot be used to prevent debate from beginning)
-the party holding the filibuster needs to actually hold the floor to do so.
Simple but important steps, IMO.
New GOP House: First order of business is to suspend their own budget rule
New GOP House decides to suspend its own spending rules to try to overturn health care.
This is the point at which their talking points clash. Will they work on cutting the deficit? Or will they work on overturning the health care law? they can't have both.
This was a favorite trick of the GOP during the Bush Administration. They put large parts of the "War on Terror" off-budget in order to message the numbers of the federal budget.
Cantor, as usual, looks pretty stupid trying to explain this all away.
This is the point at which their talking points clash. Will they work on cutting the deficit? Or will they work on overturning the health care law? they can't have both.
This was a favorite trick of the GOP during the Bush Administration. They put large parts of the "War on Terror" off-budget in order to message the numbers of the federal budget.
Cantor, as usual, looks pretty stupid trying to explain this all away.
Saturday, January 01, 2011
The Joy of Stats
Few things on the internet are worth an hour of time at a sitting. This one is. An engaging discussion of the role of statistics.
Yes, sounds exciting! Er, no. But I dare you to give it 5 minutes and then not start putting off whatever you were planning on doing the other 55.
Yes, sounds exciting! Er, no. But I dare you to give it 5 minutes and then not start putting off whatever you were planning on doing the other 55.
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